{"id":"W7097134222","doi":"","title":"in Predicting Economic Activity","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Italy: Economic History and Contemporary Issues","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Business cycle; Rest (music); Vector autoregression; Real gross domestic product; Metric (unit); Economic indicator; Quarter (Canadian coin); Linkage (software); Financial integration","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003504008,0.0009012939,0.0006819372,0.002489795,0.0002824967,0.00257161,0.0004858097,0.001289663,0.005015797],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01571301,0.0002657272,0.0004888535,0.003338857,0.0004142464,0.001967659,0.0007510003,0.001461277,0.002457894],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004057385,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004550248,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007279202,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007248184,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987069,0.0006793171,0.00009733404,0.0002488996,0.0001833842,0.00008408751],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9919309,0.006469993,0.0006596674,0.000283063,0.0004211574,0.0002351805],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000251958,0.0002719792,0.7542431,0.000204556,0.000417316,0.0001867476,0.0002230394,0.06244661,0.0003135635,0.008142574,0.008999845,0.1642986],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006976999,0.0005610193,0.4283849,0.0005784464,0.000318958,0.0003239194,0.001326254,0.5039854,0.001182001,0.0399899,0.02318756,0.00009195115],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.8351737,0.0146921,0.08043866,0.0108486,0.001207015,0.0001993464,0.007784105,0.0005746195,0.04908191],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9798738,0.002931469,0.008958261,0.000392289,0.0004330569,0.00004753286,0.00296785,0.00002849675,0.004367271],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9949842,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0185312,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02520335267315283,"score_gpt":0.2129238530470112,"score_spread":0.1877205003738583,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}