{"id":"W7097465033","doi":"","title":"A proposed stochastic simulation framework for the government of canada’s debt strategy problem. Bank of Canada: Working Paper 2003-10","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Risk and Portfolio Optimization","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Debt; Government (linguistics); Stochastic modelling; Bad debt; Government debt","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001146569,0.0001239338,0.0002298376,0.00002730605,0.0001693758,0.0000414413,0.0002714928,0.0000666359,0.0008061142],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003017226,0.00007250367,0.00003894845,0.0006106804,0.00003645925,0.00009612947,0.00001706019,0.00007499202,2.913211e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001902428,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004913665,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.442001,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9586621,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9967599,0.0000870793,0.0007089768,0.000236686,0.001953507,0.0002538578],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9965817,0.001902443,0.0004771298,0.0003636942,0.0005991139,0.00007588631],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005275867,0.00002069825,0.0005744637,0.00000370578,0.00001809736,3.595218e-7,0.00009117886,0.9494051,0.00001640036,0.03474646,0.007173329,0.007897457],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009152317,0.0002078745,0.006833874,0.0001027726,0.00008730942,0.00000203158,0.003595181,0.8795074,0.001628303,0.05367775,0.05300969,0.0004325761],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.004330549,0.0002211674,0.9697655,0.0006578669,0.0003730009,0.001376709,0.00003621395,0.000007658131,0.02323133],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9845095,0.000008043345,0.01028536,0.0001358666,0.00002182109,0.00001539069,0.000001680616,0.00001000313,0.005012384],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9801789,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8826385,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04745017369323563,"score_gpt":0.3032613466234337,"score_spread":0.2558111729301981,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}