{"id":"W7110009149","doi":"10.1109/aict67988.2025.11268812","title":"A Multi-Method Framework for Modeling Sustainability Fragility Surfaces under Joint Economic and Environmental Stressors","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis","field":"Engineering","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Fragility; Copula (linguistics); Bayesian inference; Probabilistic logic; Inference; Bayesian probability; Sustainability","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001448311,0.0006243492,0.0009766539,0.0002452737,0.000543167,0.0001940481,0.0002910654,0.0006707401,0.0004732576],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003761056,0.0006350094,0.0004704737,0.0001928852,0.0003236202,0.0004195686,0.0002636046,0.0007444026,0.000003690026],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001609373,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002229345,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009374208,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003173802,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9963558,0.0002538221,0.001131466,0.001240709,0.0001634024,0.0008548525],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997833,0.0008959377,0.0001067473,0.0008867935,0.00006514083,0.0002123972],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006819463,0.0001130127,0.005625464,0.0008557547,0.0004382609,4.884816e-7,0.0006013438,0.9762015,0.0002291299,0.006700569,0.00001235789,0.009153866],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005819565,0.00003948385,0.005594856,0.00006101108,0.0002998039,7.803177e-7,0.01452373,0.8768438,0.001134702,0.100387,0.00005003015,0.0004829265],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4010484,0.0008408145,0.5963995,0.000446032,0.0002093605,0.0007193906,0.0002415489,0.00005895801,0.00003599731],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8247908,0.0003096554,0.1744756,0.00008194368,0.00005163335,0.000062036,0.00002078339,0.00003022416,0.0001774149],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.4237424,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996101,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01340744208420698,"score_gpt":0.2896574669813297,"score_spread":0.2762500248971227,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}