{"id":"W7110812564","doi":"10.1007/s10560-025-01060-8","title":"The Main and Intersecting Predictive Effects of Out-of-Home Child Welfare Placement, Sex, and Ethnicity on Arrest in Canada","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Child and Adolescent Social Work Journal","topic":"Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research; University of Windsor","keywords":"Indigenous; Welfare; Ethnic group; White (mutation); Welfare system; White British; Welfare dependency","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003967357,0.00008324166,0.0001831027,0.00007022097,0.001975019,0.00005301506,0.00007570856,0.00004266893,0.000002822553],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001197498,0.00006473423,0.00004266876,0.000287487,0.0001870753,0.00004071167,0.00004450129,0.0004069352,2.749791e-8],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001746555,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001251645,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03658872,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.6346279,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991178,0.0002079286,0.0002067009,0.0001147979,0.0001783113,0.0001744774],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995344,0.0001897104,0.0001446583,0.00003636561,0.00003280322,0.00006204554],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"qualitative","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009548065,0.0003839581,0.3830902,0.0006244458,0.0005092313,0.00003091248,0.1520419,0.000117724,0.00002276605,0.00356836,0.001718554,0.4569372],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006431651,0.00005857936,0.2999089,0.001811776,0.0001893289,0.000002512917,0.6960124,0.00003017043,0.0000426536,0.0001215131,0.001063823,0.0001151897],"study_design_candidate":"qualitative","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9923165,0.001254621,0.00005531947,0.004339001,0.0007053703,0.0001303719,0.000003651756,0.000003038445,0.001192165],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985201,0.001124148,0.00000174818,0.0001282382,0.0001860441,0.000001361242,3.217246e-7,0.000002941754,0.00003514302],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5980392,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993243,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007266950760798137,"score_gpt":0.2586561297564484,"score_spread":0.2513891789956502,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}