{"id":"W7117000153","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5766805","title":"How Heat and Heated Authoritarianism Drive Migration:<br>Climate Change, Authoritarianism, and Forced Migration","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Burman University","funders":"","keywords":"Authoritarianism; Climate change; Forced migration; Human rights; Global warming; Politics; Abrupt climate change","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007399871,0.0001720553,0.0002305329,0.0003790527,0.0009464636,0.003526443,0.0003636912,0.0015151,0.01264647],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004562152,0.0001399185,0.0003127798,0.0009221384,0.002226542,0.001772332,0.001326889,0.0009060097,0.0005163304],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007671611,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009134118,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01267459,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01720257,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997142,0.0001271666,0.000009679728,0.00004426518,0.00003638818,0.00006835679],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984809,0.0008699726,0.000235209,0.00007901925,0.0001501186,0.0001848426],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001248288,0.0006993719,0.3435265,0.001148312,0.0006611179,0.0007456236,0.03564255,0.01844714,0.004011525,0.4156816,0.03890024,0.1392877],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009756007,0.0001607488,0.4939816,0.0003399185,0.0001923182,0.0001573752,0.04368784,0.009021787,0.0008756934,0.4130804,0.03828694,0.0001178884],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8876139,0.003102349,0.002319284,0.04016285,0.0005263609,0.0000170218,0.0005160231,0.00002933637,0.06571297],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963248,0.0008586673,0.0001786534,0.0004134746,0.00007868028,0.000006728139,0.00005309679,0.00001079958,0.00207515],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01267459,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04230666,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04766882885541204,"score_gpt":0.2986662596198797,"score_spread":0.2509974307644677,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}