{"id":"W7127221670","doi":"","title":"Do Unprecedented Weather Extremes Since Early 2022 Have an Association with the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Eruption?","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"article","venue":"DigitalCommons (California Polytechnic State University)","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Water vapor; Global warming; Teleconnection; Climate model; Greenhouse gas; Climate change; Sulfate aerosol; Stratosphere; Sea surface temperature; Greenhouse effect","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003727867,0.0001263227,0.0001570129,0.0004341996,0.0003010578,0.0009852087,0.0001762465,0.0003596381,0.001599211],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009481081,0.0001169008,0.0002237225,0.001185423,0.0003519174,0.0005544027,0.0003834486,0.0004583243,0.0002407716],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005071802,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004309741,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01594468,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0349573,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998564,0.00001929301,0.0000105497,0.00004050694,0.00002574817,0.00004743656],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993476,0.00006853319,0.0003623844,0.00003755048,0.00008792453,0.00009592828],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002710396,0.000007909764,0.9954512,0.00001351796,0.00003743486,0.0001111633,0.0001829122,0.00006657899,0.0002363214,0.0000873985,0.0004687874,0.003309875],"study_design_scores_gemma":[5.678586e-7,0.000004951702,0.9991813,0.000002339505,0.000005213467,0.00002962742,0.000197994,0.00007659241,0.00002492727,0.00002061364,0.0004543413,0.000001487988],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9946919,0.0007470949,0.0001516773,0.001239416,0.00005262794,0.000005360959,0.001415222,0.00001109121,0.00168558],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9982029,0.0005089615,0.00005182822,0.0001027913,0.00005480759,0.000002905389,0.0008554173,0.000002136366,0.0002181954],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01594468,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03170377,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01339089664718551,"score_gpt":0.221793161848652,"score_spread":0.2084022652014665,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}