{"id":"W7130716055","doi":"10.1109/swc65939.2025.00056","title":"Cyber Risk Prediction and Management Using Random Forest-Based Risk Scoring Models","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Information and Cyber Security","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Athabasca University","funders":"","keywords":"Random forest; Risk management; Risk assessment; Classifier (UML); Identification (biology); Reliability (semiconductor); Relevance (law)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00126545,0.0003119153,0.000297003,0.0004599699,0.0009884275,0.0007945616,0.0004279357,0.0001387097,0.00003379563],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002654798,0.000301855,0.0001423364,0.0007458947,0.0001001926,0.002031936,0.0005050347,0.0003349482,0.0000155597],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001498396,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001244973,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007202007,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001342277,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975362,0.0002157391,0.0007695864,0.0005606081,0.0004521784,0.000465673],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985749,0.0000986452,0.0003278361,0.0006909346,0.0001654623,0.0001422968],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002170507,0.000147418,0.01494975,0.0003648931,0.0002557045,0.000005892899,0.002033856,0.6419178,0.00000209773,0.2063757,0.0005270767,0.1332028],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005025554,0.0000380871,0.007263196,0.0002581848,0.0002233838,0.000002049509,0.0001463707,0.9736505,0.0001321499,0.01211838,0.0008887434,0.0002533919],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.06191233,0.0003185171,0.8976425,0.0001321496,0.001175138,0.0008486371,0.00001960959,0.0001658492,0.0377853],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9560827,0.001258898,0.04137789,0.0005625504,0.00004688225,0.00002866725,0.000004106771,0.000008908575,0.0006294079],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8941703,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999434,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01438025113232589,"score_gpt":0.2339979175018236,"score_spread":0.2196176663694977,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}