{"id":"W7132939972","doi":"","title":"Crude Oil, Refined Strategy: How Foreign Energy Investments Influence Intervention Strategies in Civil Wars","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"dissertation","venue":"TSpace","topic":"Global Energy Security and Policy","field":"Energy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Incentive; Spanish Civil War; Intervention (counseling); Work (physics); Energy security; Energy (signal processing); Deterrence theory; Safeguard; Energy policy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001552652,0.0002163959,0.0002488816,0.001207658,0.001120576,0.003633041,0.0003364614,0.00065523,0.004580299],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01030182,0.000189792,0.0001854442,0.00139317,0.002350009,0.002298642,0.001657314,0.001008814,0.0004170646],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001708517,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001045798,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01478558,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02110795,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986563,0.0006389896,0.00006320944,0.0001912236,0.0001362478,0.0003140387],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9946791,0.002802783,0.001612405,0.0001903743,0.0003142891,0.000401095],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003492348,0.0003004209,0.8799323,0.0001128311,0.0003056305,0.0006406532,0.04013116,0.003113294,0.00101805,0.03648059,0.001241388,0.03637448],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000188347,0.0001695325,0.8930243,0.0001221434,0.0001006121,0.0001521566,0.08584482,0.002332912,0.0004661105,0.009198187,0.008535191,0.00003515561],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9857086,0.0003222275,0.0004218022,0.0005361537,0.000007074091,0.000009200838,0.0000415012,0.000002885481,0.01295056],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991135,0.0001151275,0.0000510597,0.00003100435,0.000001751514,0.000003483329,0.00001677395,0.000002101485,0.0006651148],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01478558,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02939904,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01908131981672523,"score_gpt":0.3188455084542628,"score_spread":0.2997641886375376,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}