{"id":"W7139219557","doi":"","title":"Integrate Risk in the Timing of Outcomes","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"dissertation","venue":"TSpace (University of Toronto)","topic":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"University of Toronto","keywords":"Stochastic dominance; Expected utility hypothesis; Axiom; Outcome (game theory); Subjective expected utility; Axiom independence; Predictive power; Rank (graph theory); Isoelastic utility","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005709125,0.0006513396,0.0006125972,0.0007810218,0.0003791931,0.002304611,0.0007517257,0.0008432331,0.002763603],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02574484,0.0003733505,0.000791452,0.000597562,0.001291218,0.003979837,0.001473326,0.001336968,0.0002642089],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009901451,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008506472,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009534936,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008560601,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972337,0.001254846,0.00014589,0.0004761709,0.0006393165,0.0002501504],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9828547,0.01145732,0.003173285,0.001402589,0.0006580823,0.0004539194],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001480701,0.0005429419,0.08376254,0.0002488586,0.0003691739,0.0004257028,0.001351372,0.1446859,0.00688526,0.5091584,0.0007347037,0.2503544],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006864521,0.0006678483,0.0363975,0.00007595884,0.0001877038,0.000317098,0.0003319926,0.3078059,0.00482905,0.6459394,0.003252844,0.0001261687],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.647356,0.0007424513,0.3316582,0.0009323828,0.00006953254,0.0001029659,0.0001660757,0.00009896542,0.01887329],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9868593,0.0001862524,0.01175408,0.0000495594,0.00003168231,0.00002864058,0.000048785,0.000009202184,0.001032581],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005709125,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03019309,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07715566139754573,"score_gpt":0.3672824648566934,"score_spread":0.2901268034591477,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}