{"id":"W7161950127","doi":"10.82308/24051","title":"Stochastic modeling of daily precipitation process in the context of climate change","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"dissertation","venue":"","topic":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Precipitation; Climate change; Robustness (evolution); Stochastic modelling; Perturbation (astronomy); Statistical model; Markov chain; Context (archaeology); Transient climate simulation","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008521731,0.0003723445,0.0003903163,0.0003828631,0.000286094,0.0006090797,0.0008875182,0.0005878715,0.0005100909],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002372616,0.0002341546,0.0005317184,0.0006492569,0.0004825258,0.0007550404,0.0004380595,0.0007380532,0.00009258997],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001088326,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001093581,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04790028,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.037357,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995816,0.0001778225,0.00001887432,0.00009209946,0.00008380906,0.00004582304],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993963,0.0003380691,0.0001151199,0.00004255628,0.00008876047,0.00001919274],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00000670965,0.000006115659,0.001570026,0.00001019631,0.00001361869,0.00002800413,0.00001938172,0.9866882,0.0005538876,0.008749941,0.0001022288,0.002251635],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001117477,0.000002624395,0.000685855,9.419194e-7,0.000002013278,0.000004156748,0.000003443969,0.9972993,0.00006750831,0.001731331,0.0001993848,0.000002351954],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1900957,0.0003810999,0.8049788,0.0004688152,0.00007228,0.00005595538,0.0006210814,0.000276927,0.003049333],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9765039,0.0004254285,0.02073416,0.00005046092,0.00005124676,0.00006392084,0.0004018892,0.00002917831,0.001739876],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.04790028,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09524298,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01976998920692858,"score_gpt":0.2796674038048104,"score_spread":0.2598974145978818,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}