{"id":"W753476842","doi":"","title":"Economy Improving at Modest Pace. Business Cycle Report of December 2013","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Austrian Economic Quarterly","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Pace; Quarter (Canadian coin); Business cycle; Economics; Benchmark (surveying); Macroeconomics; Monetary economics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003533041,0.0001482779,0.0002636314,0.000102574,0.000222281,0.0001136793,0.0002558684,0.0001310426,0.002179517],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002209857,0.0001566792,0.00008570874,0.00009073252,0.0002084555,0.0008192376,0.00002801694,0.00006518108,0.002232922],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000327332,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004805994,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04156485,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007868034,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986743,0.00005748736,0.0005094226,0.0002932193,0.0000770692,0.0003885471],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989786,0.00009853396,0.0003717956,0.0002816912,0.0000878184,0.0001815526],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008245101,0.0002102803,0.1226194,0.0001229123,0.0004092966,0.00007182234,0.03293818,0.0006760298,0.0007748905,0.05381947,0.6670901,0.1211852],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002319713,0.0001932729,0.184689,0.00006779575,0.00006418252,0.0001002568,0.007345088,0.001298025,0.0002928609,0.04729416,0.7547488,0.001586897],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8795955,0.00001672216,0.00003818606,0.006096508,0.0005159702,0.0003583934,0.000005263863,0.00003866126,0.1133349],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9694445,0.00001754238,0.0002004522,0.00008514405,0.0005426931,0.00005042875,0.00002008433,0.00001743318,0.02962172],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1195983,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9987326,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01775014107123772,"score_gpt":0.2619759673567009,"score_spread":0.2442258262854631,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}