{"id":"W841602645","doi":"","title":"Predictive Analytics Point to Protracted Global Slowdown","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"˜The œjournal of business forecasting","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Business cycle; Investment (military); Economic recovery; Recession; Global recession; Unemployment; Analytics; Capital good; Goods and services; Macroeconomics; Economy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004065495,0.001503189,0.0006258153,0.003508171,0.0007789907,0.007001272,0.001177348,0.001086571,0.007436305],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0201982,0.0004688266,0.0008091372,0.00575078,0.001217937,0.007640713,0.003271934,0.003146072,0.004732213],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002037319,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001678329,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02125187,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01290921,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974213,0.0003135678,0.000145241,0.0004957038,0.001292633,0.000331631],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9902682,0.002550018,0.001123671,0.001242969,0.004432851,0.0003823189],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005042034,0.0001201427,0.153024,0.001217267,0.0003217999,0.001633419,0.00273648,0.07947068,0.003153228,0.08852895,0.2260448,0.443245],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003415703,0.0001828614,0.1054378,0.001358632,0.000232779,0.0005144739,0.004731998,0.2181827,0.006295131,0.132636,0.5301538,0.0002395903],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3850936,0.02070631,0.1677412,0.07546891,0.004091734,0.0004008916,0.03556832,0.0239592,0.28697],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9285802,0.008496113,0.0189053,0.003798731,0.0007154351,0.0001122549,0.02045149,0.00188408,0.01705642],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02125187,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0422563,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07378048448464412,"score_gpt":0.2256207360377959,"score_spread":0.1518402515531518,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}