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Record W1604645383

Negotiating Arab-Israeli Peace: Patterns, Problems, Possibilities

2001· article· en· W1604645383 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Angelika Timm

Bibliographic record

VenueShofar · 2001
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicJewish and Middle Eastern Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMiddle EastNegotiationPeacemakingAdversaryLawState (computer science)SociologyPolitical scienceTel avivMedia studiesHistoryLibrary science
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Negotiating Arab-Israeli Peace: Patterns, Problems, PossibilitiesAfter the election of Labor's Ehud Barak as Israeli Prime Minister in May 1999, hope was raised that the peace process frozen under the Hawk Benyamin Netanyahu would be revived and agreements between Israel and the Palestinians could be reached within a few months. Barak implemented the Wye II Agreement, started peace talks with Syria, and promised to get Israeli soldiers out of South Lebanon within one year. The prospects for peace in the Middle East at the end of the twentieth century are indeed better than a decade before, but the Final Status Talks have not been completed yet, and at least another decade will be necessary to put their results into practice. In order to understand the current problems and to assess prospects for the future in a realistic way, it is appropriate to analyze previous attempts to settle the Israeli-Arab conflict.Both Laura Zittrain Eisenberg, Visiting Associate Professor in the History Department at Carnegie Mellon University, and Neil Caplan, teaching in the Humanities Department at Vanier College in Montreal, are familiar with several aspects of the Middle East conflict, having authored a number of books on the subject. Eisenberg is the author of My Enemy's Enemy: Lebanon in the Early Zionist Imagination, 1900-1948 (Detroit: Wayne State University Press, 1994); Caplan's publications include Palestine Jewry and the Arab Question, 1917-1925 (London: Frank Cass, 1978); The Lausanne Conference, 1949: A Case Study in Middle East Peacemaking (Tel Aviv University, Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies, 1993); and Futile Diplomacy, a Multi-Volume Documentary History of the Arab-Israeli Conflict (London: Frank Cass, Vols. 1-2, 1983, 1986; Vols. 3-4, 1997).The authors base their new book on former research results but focus on six contemporary examples of peace negotiations -- the Camp David peace process (1977-1979), the Israel-Lebanon agreement (1983), the Hussein-Peres London Document (1987), the Madrid Conference and subsequent Washington talks (1991-1993), the Jordanian-Israeli peace process (1993-1994) and, finally, the Oslo peace process between Israel and the PLO (1993-1996). Looking for similarities and differences, Eisenberg and Caplan analyze each case study under the following seven headings: a) previous experience negotiating together; b) variety of purposes and motives for entering into negotiations; c) questions of timing that affected decisions to enter into or refrain from negotiations; d) status of negotiating partners; e) effect of third-party involvement; f) proposed terms of agreement; and, finally, g) psychological factors affecting both leaders and followers. As mentioned in the subtitle of the book, the examination refers to patterns, problems, and possibilities of the negotiations and, thus, provides the reader with a tool for understanding success and failure of previous attempts to settle the conflict. At the same time, the difficulty of the current peace process becomes obvious.The authors follow for more than two decades all of the above-mentioned tracks and show their interconnection. They conclude that successfully negotiated settlements since 1977 demonstrated changes in virtually all of the seven elements; only deviations from the complex negative historical patterns made the peace efforts promising. Unfortunately, there was only limited room for elaboration on the link between domestic and foreign policy, the Cold War, and party politics. The United Nations as a major player in the 1970s and 1980s is rarely mentioned, and the Middle East politics of the European Union -- in the 1990s obviously more a payer than a player -- are not reflected at all. …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.045

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0030.008
Science and technology studies0.0090.015
Scholarly communication0.0140.014
Open science0.0010.007
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.040
GPT teacher head0.299
Teacher spread0.259 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2001
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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