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Profiling risk and sustainability in coastal deltas of the world

2015· article· en· 713 citations· W1659095121 on OpenAlex· 10.1126/science.aab3574

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Canadian funderA Canadian agency funded it. The work may carry no Canadian affiliation at all.

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Abstract

Deltas are highly sensitive to increasing risks arising from local human activities, land subsidence, regional water management, global sea-level rise, and climate extremes. We quantified changing flood risk due to extreme events using an integrated set of global environmental, geophysical, and social indicators. Although risks are distributed across all levels of economic development, wealthy countries effectively limit their present-day threat by gross domestic product-enabled infrastructure and coastal defense investments. In an energy-constrained future, such protections will probably prove to be unsustainable, raising relative risks by four to eight times in the Mississippi and Rhine deltas and by one-and-a-half to four times in the Chao Phraya and Yangtze deltas. The current emphasis on short-term solutions for the world's deltas will greatly constrain options for designing sustainable solutions in the long term.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

The record

Venue
Science
Topic
Coastal and Marine Management
Field
Environmental Science
Canadian institutions
Funders
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaSimons Institute for the Theory of Computing, University of California BerkeleyAlfred P. Sloan FoundationNational Science FoundationClimate ExtremesNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationAbu Dhabi Education Council
Keywords
DeltaUrbanizationGross domestic productSustainabilityGross Regional ProductGeographyVulnerability (computing)PopulationPopulation growthNatural resource economicsGlobeEnvironmental resource managementEnvironmental protectionEnvironmental planningEconomic growthEcologyEnvironmental scienceEconomicsBiology
Has abstract in OpenAlex
yes