Step‐Stress Testing with Multiple Samples: The Exponential Case
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Step‐stress models are descriptions of special experiments in the field of accelerated life testing, where the test units are exposed to stress levels that change at intermediate time points during the experiment. The goal is to develop inference for the mean lifetime at each stress level. The time points of stress level change can either be fixed or random. Furthermore, the experiment can be terminated when a certain number of failures is reached or at a pre‐specified time point. These alternative assumptions of the type of the experiment lead to alternative models. Usually the step‐stress models are based on a single experiment. We develop inference for step stress models designed for multiple samples. The stress levels are the same applied to all samples but the duration of exposure under each stress level can vary among the experiments. The likelihood inference is then discussed in detail for the exponential case and different simple step‐stress experiments.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it