Structure of optimal martingale transport plans in general dimensions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Given two probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ in “convex order” on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, we study the profile of one-step martingale plans $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}\times\mathbb{R}^{d}$ that optimize the expected value of the modulus of their increment among all martingales having $\mu$ and $\nu$ as marginals. While there is a great deal of results for the real line (i.e., when $d=1$), much less is known in the richer and more delicate higher-dimensional case that we tackle in this paper. We show that many structural results can be obtained, provided the initial measure $\mu$ is absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure. One such a property is that $\mu$-almost every $x$ in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ is transported by the optimal martingale plan into a probability measure $\pi_{x}$ concentrated on the extreme points of the closed convex hull of its support. This will be established for the distance cost $c(x,y)=\vert x-y\vert $ in the two-dimensional case, and also for any $d\geq3$ as long as the marginals are in “subharmonic order.” In some cases, $\pi_{x}$ is supported on the vertices of a $k(x)$-dimensional polytope, such as when the target measure is discrete. Duality plays a crucial role in our approach, even though, in contrast to standard optimal transports, the dual extremal problem may not be attained in general. We show however that “martingale supporting” Borel subsets of $\mathbb{R}^{d}\times\mathbb{R}^{d}$ can be decomposed into a collection of mutually disjoint components by means of a “convex paving” of the source space, in such a way that when the martingale is optimal for a general cost function, each of the components then supports a restricted optimal martingale transport whose dual problem is attained. This decomposition is used to obtain structural results in cases where global duality is not attained. On the other hand, it shows that certain “optimal martingale supporting” Borel sets can be viewed as higher-dimensional versions of Nikodym-type sets. The paper focuses on the distance cost, but much of the results hold for general Lipschitz cost functions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".