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Record W1892337079 · doi:10.3233/ida-2012-00563

Periodic pattern analysis of non-uniformly sampled stock market data

2012· article· en· W1892337079 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueIntelligent Data Analysis · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicTime Series Analysis and Forecasting
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceStock marketData miningTime seriesMissing dataTransaction dataDatabase transactionAlgorithmBiological dataMachine learning

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Periodic pattern detection is an important data mining task that highlights the temporal regularities within the data. It aims at finding if a partial or full pattern has a cyclic repetition in the considered time series or data sequence. Periodicity is found in large number of datasets including m eteorological data, transaction count, computer network traffic, power consumption, sunspots, Electrocardiography (ECG), biological sequences such as DNA and protein [33]. Periodic pattern analysis not only helps in understanding the behavior of the data but also contributes in predicting the future trends of the data. There are several algorithms reported in the literature for periodicity detection in time series and biological sequences [3,34] but none of these algorithms discuss the non-uniformly sampled data. General assumption in the time series and sequence data is that the consecutive data values are sampled at regular or uniform interval of time. But this assumption hardly holds in real datasets; for example the stock market data analyzed in this paper record various features for each working day. This data has a quite a few missing values for weekly and arbitrary holidays. Although handling this issue is not very complex but requires careful handling. In this paper we analyze the stock market data in detail and show how the periodic pattern analysis may provide the understanding of the data to predict the future trends. Our experimental results show that consideration of missing values in stock market data results in much larger number of interesting results than the trivial periodicity detection approach ignoring the missing values.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Open science, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.958
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.011
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.003
Open science0.0090.006
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.086
GPT teacher head0.317
Teacher spread0.231 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it