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Record W1917061602 · doi:10.1002/wrcr.20331

Finding appropriate bias correction methods in downscaling precipitation for hydrologic impact studies over North America

2013· article· en· W1917061602 on OpenAlexaff
Jie Chen, François Brissette, Diane Chaumont, Marco Braun

Bibliographic record

VenueWater Resources Research · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsÉcole de Technologie SupérieureOuranosUniversité du Québec à Montréal
FundersU.S. Department of EnergyNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationNational Science Foundation
KeywordsDownscalingEnvironmental sciencePrecipitationClimate modelClimatologyWatershedHydrological modellingClimate changeCoupled model intercomparison projectMeteorologyComputer scienceGeologyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This work compares the performance of six bias correction methods for hydrological modeling over 10 North American river basins. Four regional climate model (RCM) simulations driven by reanalysis data taken from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program intercomparison project are used to evaluate the sensitivity of bias correction methods to climate models. The hydrological impacts of bias correction methods are assessed through the comparison of streamflows simulated by a lumped empirical hydrology model (HSAMI) using raw RCM‐simulated and bias‐corrected precipitation time series. The results show that RCMs are biased in the simulation of precipitation, which results in biased simulated streamflows. All six bias correction methods are capable of improving the RCM‐simulated precipitation in the representation of watershed streamflows to a certain degree. However, the performance of hydrological modeling depends on the choice of a bias correction method and the location of a watershed. Moreover, distribution‐based methods are consistently better than mean‐based methods. A low coherence between the temporal sequences of observed and RCM‐simulated (driven by reanalysis data) precipitation was observed over 5 of the 10 watersheds studied. All bias corrections methods fail over these basins due to their inability to specifically correct the temporal structure of daily precipitation occurrence, which is critical for hydrology modeling. In this study, this failure occurred on basins that were distant from the RCM model boundaries and where topography exerted little control over precipitation. These results indicate that bias correction performance is location dependent and that a careful validation should always be performed, especially on studies over new regions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.020
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.013
Threshold uncertainty score0.036

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.020
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.191
GPT teacher head0.448
Teacher spread0.257 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations532
Published2013
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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