Historical comparison of the 2001/2002 drought in the Canadian Prairies
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Over the west-central Canadian Prairies, precipitation was well below normal for a remarkable 8 consecutive seasons from September 2000 through August 2002. The precipitation deficits were associated with severe agricultural, hydrologic, and socio-economic impacts over much of the area. This study compares the spatial extent and severity of the 2001/2002 Canadian Prairie drought to previous droughts during the period of instrumental records. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) show that the worst and most prolonged Prairie-wide droughts during the period 1915-2002 occurred in the early part of the 20th century. Over the agricultural region of the Prairies, 2001 and 2002 generally ranked high in terms of spatial extent and severity of drought; at some stations the 2001/2002 drought was the most severe one on record. More importantly, it followed a prolonged lack of dry years, and this likely contributed to the severity of its impacts. Results from this study are an initial step toward the quantification and better understanding of both past and future drought occurrence over interior regions of North America.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it