Using Gene Genealogies to Detect Rare Variants Associated with Complex Traits
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Standard population genetic theory says that deleterious genetic variants are likely rare and fairly recently introduced. However, can this expectation lead to more powerful tests of association between diseases and rare genetic variation? The gene genealogy describes the relationships between haplotypes sampled from the general population. Although ancestral tree-based methods, inspired by the gene genealogy concept, have been developed for finding associations with common genetic variants, here we ask whether gene genealogies can help in identifying genomic regions containing multiple rare causal variants. METHODS: With data simulated under several demographic models and using known gene genealogies, we developed and compared several tree-based statistics to determine which, if any, could detect the type of clustering expected with rare causal variants and whether the genealogic tree provides additional information about disease associations. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: We found that a novel statistic based on the scaled distance between the tips of a tree performed better than other tree-based statistics. When data were simulated with mild population growth, this statistic outperformed two standard non-tree-based methods, showing that an ancestral tree-based approach has potential for rare variant discovery.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it