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Record W1966725634 · doi:10.1145/1370256.1370260

A bioinspired algorithm to price options

2008· article· en· W1966725634 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicMetaheuristic Optimization Algorithms Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Manitoba
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversity of Manitoba
KeywordsComputer scienceBinomial options pricing modelAnt colony optimization algorithmsMathematical optimizationHeuristicValuation of optionsAlgorithmFinanceEconomicsArtificial intelligenceMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Computing option prices is a challenging problem. Finding the best time to exercise an option is a even more challenging problem. One has to be watchful for the price changes in the market place and act at the right time. That is, prices need to be policed. This paper proposes a novel idea for pricing options using a nature inspired meta-heuristic algorithm, Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). ACO has been used extensively in combinatorial optimization problems and recently in dynamic applications such as mobile ad-hoc networks. Specifically, we adapt the general ACO algorithm to apply to a totally different application, computational finance, in the current study. We police the prices using ants to decide on the best time to exercise so that the holder of the option contract will get the maximum benefit out of his/her investment. Our algorithm and implementation suggests a better way to price options than traditional numerical techniques such as binomial lattice algorithm. From our results we conclude that reactive ants may be best suited for long-dated options whose performance can still be improved.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.949
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.040
GPT teacher head0.289
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it