Using a probabilistic model (pCNEM) to estimate personal exposure to air pollution
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This article describes the use of a probabilistic model to estimate personal exposure to airborne pollutants. Such estimates are important when assessing, for example, the potential effects of air pollution on health and in developing related policy. An individual's personal exposure will be determined by local pollution sources which will change throughout the day as the individual's location changes. For this reason, models have been developed that utilize ‘time activity’ patterns to compute the overall exposure to pollutants. The model described here is referred to as ‘pCNEM’ and can be accessed through the WWW. The computational platform is flexible in that it allows users to construct models defining local sources of pollution and emissions in addition to ambient levels. This article demonstrates the construction of such a model, for predicting the exposure to PM 10 of random selected individuals from sub‐populations of Greater London. A case study of working females in the spring and summer of 1997 is presented. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".