Risk comparison of some shrinkage M-estimators in linear models
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The problem of robust estimation of a (linear) regression parameter (vector), in the presence of nuisance scale parameter, is considered when it is a priori suspected that the regression could be restricted to a linear subspace. Asymptotic properties of variants of Stein-rule M-estimators (including the positive-rule shrinkage M-estimators) are studied. Under an asymptotic distributional quadratic risk criterion, their relative dominance picture is explored, analytically as well as by simulation. An extensive sampling experiment is used to examine the small sample characteristics of the proposed estimators over a wide-range of data sampling designs and distributions. Our simulation experiments have provided strong evidence that corroborates with the asymptotic theory. Two examples are provided to illustrate the performance of the estimators in real-life situations.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.026 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it