Pseudo–Empirical Likelihood Inference for Multiple Frame Surveys
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This article presents a pseudo–empirical likelihood approach to inference for multiple-frame surveys. We establish a unified framework for point and interval estimation of finite population parameters, and show that inferences on the parameters of interest making effective use of different types of auxiliary population information can be conveniently carried out through the constrained maximization of the pseudo–empirical likelihood function. Confidence intervals are constructed using either the asymptotic χ2 distribution of an adjusted pseudo–empirical likelihood ratio statistic or a bootstrap calibration method. Simulation results based on Statistics Canada’s Family Expenditure Survey data show that the proposed methods perform well in finite samples for both point and interval estimation. In particular, a multiplicity-based pseudo–empirical likelihood method is proposed. This method is easily used for multiple-frame surveys with more than two frames and does not require complete frame membership information. The proposed pseudo–empirical likelihood ratio confidence intervals have a clear advantage over the conventional normal approximation–based intervals in estimating population proportions of rare items, a scenario that often motivates the use of multiple-frame surveys. All related computational problems can be handled using existing algorithms for pseudo–empirical likelihood methods with single-frame surveys.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.107 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it