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Record W1998765045 · doi:10.1017/s0373463303002285

A New Approach to Sequential Tidal Prediction

2003· article· en· W1998765045 on OpenAlexaff
Ahmed El‐Rabbany, Mohammed El-Diasty

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Navigation · 2003
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrological Forecasting Using AI
Canadian institutionsToronto Metropolitan University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTide gaugeArtificial neural networkTidal ModelFeedforward neural networkTidal powerLeast-squares function approximationComputer scienceAlgorithmGeologyEngineeringArtificial intelligenceMarine engineeringStatisticsMathematicsOceanographySea level

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Accurate tide prediction is required for safe marine navigation in shallow waters as well as for other marine operations. Traditionally, tide prediction was carried out using the harmonic method, which is based on the identification of the harmonic tidal constituents existing in the tidal record. Unfortunately, however, unless long tidal records are available at the tide gauges, some important tidal constituents may not be identified. This, in turn, deteriorates the accuracy of the tidal prediction. More recently, a sequential least-squares prediction method capable of using relatively short tidal records was developed. This method allows for the modifications and corrections of the original solution of the tidal constituents when new observations and parameters are included. Although it reduces the computation time significantly compared to the batch harmonic method, this method exhibits large residuals particularly when very short tidal records are used. To overcome the limitations of the sequential least-squares method, a neural network-based model is developed for sequentially predicting the tidal heights using tide data series collected at various tide gauges. A modular, three-layer feedforward neural network trained using the back-propagation algorithm is used for this purpose. Tide data from three tide gauges are used to validate the model. A comparison is made between the developed neural network model and the sequential least squares method for tidal prediction. It is shown that the accuracy level of the tidal prediction has improved by a factor of 5 when using the neural network model.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.002
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.257
Teacher spread0.229 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations8
Published2003
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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