Fuzzy Clusterwise Growth Curve Models via Generalized Estimating Equations: An Application to the Antisocial Behavior of Children
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The growth curve model has been a useful tool for the analysis of repeated measures data. However, it is designed for an aggregate-sample analysis based on the assumption that the entire sample of respondents are from a single homogenous population. Thus, this method may not be suitable when heterogeneous subgroups exist in the population with qualitatively distinct patterns of trajectories. In this paper, the growth curve model is generalized to a fuzzy clustering framework, which explicitly accounts for such group-level heterogeneity in trajectories of change over time. Moreover, the proposed method estimates parameters based on generalized estimating equations thereby relaxing the assumption of correct specification of the population covariance structure among repeated responses. The performance of the proposed method in recovering parameters and the number of clusters is investigated based on two Monte Carlo analyses involving synthetic data. In addition, the empirical usefulness of the proposed method is illustrated by an application concerning the antisocial behavior of a sample of children.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it