Discovery of Temporal Associations in Multivariate Time Series
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Multivariate time series are common in many application domains, particularly in industrial processes with a large number of sensors installed for process monitoring and control. Often, such data encapsulate complex relations among individual series. This paper presents a new type of patterns in multivariate time series, referred to as temporal associations, to capture a wide range of local relations along and across individual series. A scalable algorithm is developed to discover frequent associations by incorporating (1) redundancy pruning of patterns in single time series and (2) two conditions to avoid over-counting the occurrences of associations, thus greatly reducing the space and runtime complexity of the discovery process. A statistical significance measure is also introduced for ranking and post-pruning discovered associations. To evaluate the proposed method, synthetic data sets and a real world data set taken from the time series mining repository as well as a large data set obtained from a delayed coking plant are used. The experiments demonstrated that the discovered associations capture the local relations in multiple time series and that the proposed method is scalable to large data sets.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".