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Record W2017514592 · doi:10.1111/1468-5973.00165

The Increasing Cost of Disasters in Developed Countries: A Challenge to Local Planning and Government

2001· article· en· W2017514592 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Contingencies and Crisis Management · 2001
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicDisaster Management and Resilience
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsContext (archaeology)BusinessGovernment (linguistics)Local governmentEmergency managementOrder (exchange)Environmental planningEconomic growthFinancePolitical scienceEconomicsPublic administrationGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The number and severity of disasters have increased in recent decades. Developed countries are not immune from this trend. Their governments and insurance industries are now being required to cope with rapidly increasing and unanticipated disaster expenditures. In some cases, disaster related claims have increased by more than a full order of magnitude in just a decade. It is important for local planners and governments to understand the general trend of disaster impacts in order to respond to them. To illustrate these trends, the increase in number and financial impact of the last decade of disasters in Canada are reviewed in this article along with some discussion of the impact on government and the insurance industry. In spite of the increasing impact of emergencies and disasters, Canadian local municipal governments have, in general, invested very little in emergency mitigation planning. Many municipalities have no emergency plans at all. Where plans exist, many only address a small range of possible threats, and many do not include any mitigation aspects. Emergency mitigation planning at the local municipal level is critical for effective mitigation and response. We review the general institutional context for local disaster and emergency planning in Canada, concluding that planners have sufficient tools available to begin to address the challenge. Political will and professional interest now is required to make the necessary advances.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.544
Threshold uncertainty score0.226

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.293
Teacher spread0.275 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it