Epidemiology and natural history of primary biliary cirrhosis in a Canadian health region
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
UNLABELLED: The recent epidemiology and outcomes of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) in North America are incompletely described, partly due to difficulties in case ascertainment. In light of their availability, broad coverage, and limited expense, administrative databases may facilitate such investigations. We used population-based administrative data (inpatient, ambulatory care, and physician billing databases) and a validated International Classification of Diseases coding algorithm to describe the epidemiology and natural history of PBC in the Calgary Health Region (population approximately 1.1 million). Between 1996 and 2002, the overall age/sex-adjusted annual incidence of PBC was 30.3 cases per million (48.4 per million in women, 10.4 per million in men). Although the incidence remained stable, the prevalence increased from 100 per million in 1996 to 227 per million in 2002 (P < 0.0005). Among 137 incident cases with a total follow-up of 801 person-years from diagnosis (median 5.8 years), 27 patients (20%) died and six (4.4%) underwent liver transplantation. The estimated 10-year probabilities of survival, liver transplantation, and transplant-free survival were 73% (95% confidence interval [CI] 60%-83%), 6% (95% CI 2.5%-12.6%), and 68% (95% CI 55%-78%), respectively. Survival in PBC patients was significantly lower than that of the age/sex-matched Canadian population (standardized mortality ratio 2.87; 95% CI 1.89-4.17); male sex (hazard ratio [HR] 3.80; 95% CI 1.85-7.82) and an older age at diagnosis (HR per additional year, 1.06; 95% CI 1.03-1.10) were independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: This population-based study demonstrates that the burden of PBC in Canada is high and growing. Survival of PBC patients is significantly lower than that of the general population, emphasizing the importance of developing new therapies for this condition.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it