Predicting the Outcome of Patients with Unexplained Syncope Undergoing Prolonged Monitoring
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Patients with unexplained syncope are often considered candidates for prolonged monitoring or empiric pacing when noninvasive and invasive investigations fail to provide a diagnosis. Identifying the outcome of patients undergoing prolonged monitoring that would ultimately benefit from empiric pacing may permit a cost-effective approach to resolution of syncope. Two hundred and six patients (age 57 +/- 18 years, 57% male) underwent prolonged monitoring with an implanted loop recorder for syncope of unknown origin. The median number of previous syncopal episodes was four (mean 29 +/- 133). Prior tilt testing was performed in 63% of patients, and electrophysiological testing in 46%. Symptoms recurred during follow-up in 142 patients (69%). Recurrence was associated with bradycardia leading to pacemaker implantation in 35 patients (17.0%), tachycardia in 12 (5.8%), sinus rhythm in 63 (30.6%), neurally mediated syncope based on rhythm and clinical assessment in 22 (11%), and failed activation in 10 (5%). Logistic regression analysis of baseline variables found that age was the only independent variable that predicted the need for pacing, associated with a 3% increase in risk per advancing year of age (odds ratio 1.027, P = 0.026). Despite this finding, no age group could be identified in which the likelihood of requiring pacing exceeded 30%. Logistic regression also found that patients with structural heart disease were less likely to experience recurrent symptoms during monitoring (49% vs 78%, P = 0.001) and that advancing age was associated with earlier recurrence of symptoms (P = 0.01). The etiology of recurrent syncope is diverse and cannot be predicted by baseline clinical variables. Empiric pacing appears to have little role in the management of this patient population.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it