Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change
Why is this work in the frame?
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame — the usual design — would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.
Machine scores (provisional)
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
- Teacher spread
- 0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
- Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline· verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it
Abstract
Increases in key measures of Atlantic hurricane activity over recent decades are believed to reflect, in large part, contemporaneous increases in tropical Atlantic warmth [ e.g., Emanuel , 2005]. Some recent studies [ e.g., Goldenberg et al. , 2001] have attributed these increases to a natural climate cycle termed the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), while other studies suggest that climate change may instead be playing the dominant role [ Emanuel , 2005; Webster et al. , 2005]. Using a formal statistical analysis to separate the estimated influences of anthropogenic climate change from possible natural cyclical influences, this article presents results indicating that anthropogenic factors are likely responsible for long‐term trends in tropical Atlantic warmth and tropical cyclone activity. In addition, this analysis indicates that late twentieth century tropospheric aerosol cooling has offset a substantial fraction of anthropogenic warming in the region and has thus likely suppressed even greater potential increases in tropical cyclone activity.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
The record
- Venue
- Eos
- Topic
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Field
- Earth and Planetary Sciences
- Canadian institutions
- —
- Funders
- Ontario Council on Graduate Studies, Council of Ontario UniversitiesMet OfficeNational Science Foundation
- Keywords
- Tropical cycloneAtlantic multidecadal oscillationAtlantic hurricaneClimatologyClimate changeEnvironmental scienceTropical AtlanticGlobal warmingNorth Atlantic oscillationGeographyOceanographySea surface temperatureGeology
- Has abstract in OpenAlex
- yes