Leveraging many simple statistical models to adaptively monitor software systems
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Ensuring that a software system meets its objectives requires continuous monitoring. In practice, monitoring is either insufficient to effectively detect and diagnose failures, or is too costly to use in production. An alternative is adaptive monitoring, where the system is monitored at a minimal level to determine system health, and if a problem is suspected, the monitoring level is automatically increased to determine faults. To model the system at different monitoring levels, we employ statistical techniques to identify stable relationships in the monitored data. These relationships characterise normal operation and can help detect anomalies. We describe our approach in the context of a J2EE-based system. We show that adaptive monitoring is a cost-effective alternative to continuous detailed monitoring. We inject 29 different faults, and show that we detect the faults in 80% of cases and shortlist the faulty component in 65% of the detected cases.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it