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Record W2066586787 · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.12020

Avoiding fishy growth curves

2013· article· en· W2066586787 on OpenAlexafffund
Sebastián A. Pardo, Andrew B. Cooper, Nicholas K. Dulvy

Bibliographic record

VenueMethods in Ecology and Evolution · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFish Ecology and Management Studies
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsIndeterminate growthStatisticsGrowth curve (statistics)Growth rateLogarithmBiologyMathematicsExtinction (optical mineralogy)Equivalence (formal languages)EconometricsEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Summary Somatic growth is a fundamental property of living organisms, and is of particular importance for species with indeterminate growth that can change in size continuously throughout their life. For example, fishes can increase in size by 2–6 orders of magnitude during their lifetime, resulting in changes in production, consumption and function at the ecosystem scale. Within species, growth rates are traded off against other life‐history parameters, hence an accurate description of growth is essential to understand the comparative demography, productivity, fisheries yield and extinction risk of populations and species. The growth trajectory of indeterminate growing sharks and rays (elasmobranchs) and bony fishes (teleosts) is usually modelled using a three‐parameter logarithmic function, the von Bertalanffy growth function (VBGF), to describe the total length of the average individual at any given age. Recently, however, a two‐parameter form has gained popularity. Rather than being estimated in the model fitting process, the third y‐intercept parameter (L0) of theVBGFhas been interpreted as being biologically equivalent to, and thus fixed as, the empirically estimated size at birth. We tested the equivalence assumption thatL0is the same or similar to size at birth by comparing empirical estimates of size at birth available from the literature with estimates ofL0from published data from elasmobranchs, and found that even though there is an overlap of values, there is a high degree of variability between them. We calculate the bias in the growth coefficient (k) of theVBGFby comparison between the two‐ and three‐parameter estimation methods. We show that slight deviations in fixedL0can cause considerable bias in growth estimates in the two‐parameterVBGFwhile providing no benefit even whenL0matches the true value. We show that the effect of this biased growth estimate has profound consequences for fisheries stock status. We strongly recommend the use of the three‐parameterVBGFand discourage use of the two‐parameterVBGFbecause it results in substantially biased growth estimates even with slight variations in the value of fixedL0.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.016
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.012
Threshold uncertainty score0.039

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.016
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0120.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.287
Teacher spread0.273 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations158
Published2013
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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