Soft memory for stock market analysis using linear and developmental genetic programming
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Recently, a form of memory usage was introduced for genetic programming (GP) called "soft memory." Rather than have a new value completely overwrite the old value in a register, soft memory combines the new and old register values. This work examines the performance of a soft memory linear GP and developmental GP implementation for stock trading. Soft memory is known to more slowly adapt solutions compared to traditional GP. Thus, it was expected to perform well on stock data which typically exhibit local turbulence in combination with an overall longer term trend. While soft memory and standard memory were both found to provide similar impressive accuracy in buys that produced profit and sells that prevented losses, the softer memory settings traded more actively. The trading of the softer memory systems produced less substantial cumulative gains than traditional memory settings for the stocks tested with climbing share price trends. However, the trading activity of the softer memory settings had moderate benefits in terms of cumulative profit compared to buy-and-hold strategy for share price trends involving a drop in prices followed later by gains.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".