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Record W2070194186 · doi:10.1080/00139151003761611

Moving Beyond Climate Change

2010· article· en· W2070194186 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironment Science and Policy for Sustainable Development · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicClimate Change Policy and Economics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClimate changePolitical scienceChinaGlobal warmingPoliticsEconomic historyHistoryLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image size Notes 1. This phrase was used by UK Prime Minster Gordon Brown in a speech in London to the Major Economies Forum, 19 October 2009. His remarks were: “If we do not reach a deal this time, let us be in no doubt; once the damage from unchecked emissions growth is done, no retrospective global agreement, in some future period, can undo that choice. By then it will be irretrievably too late.” Available at http://www.number10.gov.uk/Page21033. 2. Numerous books about climate change are framed using the idea of “crisis”: D. Archer and S. Rahmstorf, The Climate Crisis: An Introductory Guide to Climate Change (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, (2010), 272 pp.; A. Gore, Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis (London, UK: Bloomsbury Publishing, 2009), 416 pp.; M. Robinson, America Debates Global Warming: Crisis or Myth? (New York: Rosen Central, 2007), 64 pp.; R. Gelbspan, Boiling Point: How Politicians, Big Oil and Coal, Journalists and Activists Have Fuelled the Climate Crisis—and What We Can Do to Avert Disaster (New York: Basic Books, 2004), 254 pp. 3. For example see the G8+5 Academies' joint statement released in July 2009: “Climate Change and the Transformation of Energy Technologies for a Low Carbon Future”; and “The Copenhagen Diagnosis: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science,” a statement written by 26 leading scientific experts, November 2009. Available at http://www.ccrc.unsw.edu.au/Copenhagen/Copenhagen_Diagnosis_LOW.pdf. 4. This phrase is taken from comments made by President Obama at Copenhagen, 18 December 2009: “We know [to-be-set emission targets] will not be by themselves sufficient to get to where we need to be. Science dictates even more needs to be done … Ultimately this issue is going to be dictated by the science. The science indicates we are going to have to take more aggressive steps in future.” Available at http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/remarks-president-during-press-availability-copenhagen. 5. The full three-page Copenhagen Accord can be found here: http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2009/cop15/eng/l07.pdf. 6. UNFCCC (2009) Copenhagen Accord p.1 7. Frank Biermann wrote a paper in 2007, “‘Earth system governance’ a cross-cutting theme of global change research,” Global Environmental Change 17, no. 3–4 (2007): 326–337, in which he called for earth system governance as a political program of action. He outlined some of the characteristics of such a governance system. 8. In shaping the argument of this section, I am indebted to the ideas of Scott Barratt, Ted Nordhaus, Elinor Orstom, Roger Pielke Jr., Gwyn Prins and Michael Shellenberger. 9. See A. P. Grieshop, C. C. O. Reynolds, M. Kandlikar, and H. Dowlatabadi “A Black-Carbon Miti-gation Wedge,” Nature Geosciences 2 (2010): 533–534, for a discussion of why and how this can be achieved. 10. See papers by O. Venter, W. F. Laurance, T. Iawamura, K. A. Wilson, R. A. Fuller, and H. P. Possingham “Harnessing Carbon Payments to Protect Biodiversity,” Science 326 (2009): 1368; and U. M. Persson and C. Azar, “Preserving the World's Tropical Forests—a Price on Carbon May Not Do,” Environmental Science & Technology 44 (2010): 210–215, for discussion of moving beyond the REDD mechanism. 11. See the papers by G. J. M. Velders, S. O. Anderson, J. S. Daniel, D. W. Fahey, and M. McFarland, “The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Protecting Climate,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104, no. 12 (2007): 4814–4819; and J. Cohen, A. Rau, and K. Bruning, “Bridging the Montreal–Kyoto Gap,” Science 326 (2009): 940–941. 12. See I. Galiana and C. Green, “Let the Global Technology Race Begin,” Nature 462 (2009): 570–571, for a discussion about why this is necessary and how it may be facilitated. 13. These are ideas that I explore in some detail in my book Why We Disagree About Climate Change, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009), 393 pp. 14. S. Jasanoff “Technologies of Humility,” Nature 450 (2007): 33.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.913
Threshold uncertainty score0.870

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.208 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it