Room Rates as Signals of Quality, Sell-Out Risk and the Prospects of Getting a Better Deal: Analytical Model and Empirical Evidence
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Travellers make advanced booking decisions in an imperfect information environment, an environment in which price signalling is likely to occur. This study examines the unique informational role of room rates by suggesting an analytical model of room rates as a signal of quality and sell-out risk and by testing the theory empirically. The findings indicate that, even in advanced booking situations in which consumers might associate price deviations with the hotel's revenue management policies, prices can still signal quality to the consumers. Moreover, the study demonstrates that in a deal seeking/advanced booking context, there are two additional opposing impacts of the informational role of prices. Customers' propensity to book increases with higher rates because the perception of the sell-out risk is higher. However, at the same time, customers' propensity to book decreases because the higher room rate induces a higher expectation of the offer of a better deal.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it