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Record W2077473914 · doi:10.2118/162526-ms

Incorporating Geomechanical and Dynamic Hydraulic Fracture Property Changes into Rate-Transient Analysis: Example from the Haynesville Shale

2012· article· en· W2077473914 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueSPE Canadian Unconventional Resources Conference · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicHydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Analysis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
FundersConocoPhillips
KeywordsPermeability (electromagnetism)Hydraulic fracturingOil shaleHydraulic conductivityGeologyPetroleum engineeringGeotechnical engineeringTransient analysisFracture (geology)Transient (computer programming)Shale gasPorosityMatrix (chemical analysis)MechanicsTransient responseMaterials scienceSoil scienceComposite materialEngineeringChemistry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract It is well-known that many unconventional reservoirs experience porosity and permeability changes with pressure change during production. In recent work, authors have incorporated geomechanical modeling into production analysis procedures to account for stress-sensitivity of permeability of unconventional gas reservoirs, such as shale gas. Such corrections are necessary for deriving both accurate estimates of reservoir and hydraulic fracture properties from rate-transient analysis and for developing accurate long-term forecasts. Some shale gas reservoirs are unique in that dynamic changes may occur in both the induced hydraulic fracture AND matrix permeability, which could have a substantial impact on shale gas productivity. Stress-dependence of shale gas permeability has been quantified in the lab by several researchers, but measurements of this kind for propped or unpropped fractures under in-situ conditions are less routinely measured. For the latter, a variety of mechanisms, caused in part or wholly by stress changes in the induced hydraulic fracture, could lead to conductivity changes. In the current work, we investigate the impact of both stress-dependent matrix permeability and fracture conductivity changes on 1) rate-transient signatures and 2) derived reservoir and hydraulic fracture properties. Stress-dependent matrix permeability is incorporated into rate-transient analysis using modified pseudopressure and pseudotime formulations, and fracture conductivity changes are approximated by applying a time-dependent (dynamic) skin effect. We demonstrate that when rate-transient analysis incorporates both matrix permeability changes and dynamic skin, the resulting rate-transient signature looks very similar to other shale plays (long-term transient linear flow). Uncorrected data appear to have a very short transient linear flow period, followed by apparent boundary-dominated flow. The impact of the applied corrections on estimates of system permeability and fracture half-length is demonstrated as is the impact on production forecasts.

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.367
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.207
Teacher spread0.193 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it