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Record W2080700141 · doi:10.1057/eps.2002.33

Mapping Policy Preferences: 21 Years of the Comparative Manifestos Project

2002· article· en· W2080700141 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Ian Budge

Bibliographic record

VenueEuropean Political Science · 2002
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicPolicy Transfer and Learning
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComparative politicsPolitical sciencePolitical philosophyMulti-level governanceInternational relationsEuropean integrationRegional sciencePoliticsPublic administrationLibrary scienceGeographyComputer scienceEconomicsEuropean unionInternational tradeLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Comparative Manifestos Project (CMP) was born out of the activities of the original Manifesto Research Group (MRG). This group is not to be confused with the more recently formed MRG, the ECPR Standing Group on Party Manifestos, concerned with the computerised analysis of political texts, founded by Paul Pennings of the Vrije University in Amsterdam a couple of years back. The first MRG began its activities under the aegis of the ECPR at the Florence Joint Sessions in 1980, and continued throughout the 1980s to collect, code, and analyse party manifestos (election programmes) for nineteen countries from 1945 to 1983. The democracies covered were mainly in Europe but also included the USA, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Sri Lanka and Japan. The basic idea at first was to see what cleavages divided the parties, how many cleavages there were, and whether parties had converged or diverged along them during the post-war period.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.094
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.116
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.094
Threshold uncertainty score0.499

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0940.116
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0140.027
Science and technology studies0.0080.032
Scholarly communication0.0190.033
Open science0.0030.012
Research integrity0.0030.005
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0100.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.145
GPT teacher head0.367
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations15
Published2002
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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