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Probabilistic slope stability analysis for practice

2002· article· en· 586 citations· W2082564333 on OpenAlex· 10.1139/t02-034

Why is this work in the frame?

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

Canadian funderA Canadian agency funded it. The work may carry no Canadian affiliation at all.
Canadian venueIt was published in a Canadian venue.

No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame — the usual design — would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Machine scores (provisional)

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Opus teacher head0.019
GPT teacher head0.212
Teacher spread
0.193 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Abstract

The impact of uncertainty on the reliability of slope design and performance assessment is often significant. Conventional slope practice based on the factor of safety cannot explicitly address uncertainty, thus compromising the adequacy of projections. Probabilistic techniques are rational means to quantify and incorporate uncertainty into slope analysis and design. A spreadsheet approach for probabilistic slope stability analysis is developed. The methodology is based on Monte Carlo simulation using the familiar and readily available software, Microsoft® Excel 97 and @Risk. The analysis accounts for the spatial variability of the input variables, the statistical uncertainty due to limited data, and biases in the empirical factors and correlations used. The approach is simple and can be applied in practice with little effort beyond that needed in a conventional analysis. The methodology is illustrated by a probabilistic slope analysis of the dykes of the James Bay hydroelectric project. The results are compared with those obtained using the first-order second-moment method, and the practical insights gained through the analysis are highlighted. The deficiencies of a simpler probabilistic analysis are illustrated. Key words: probabilistic analysis, slope stability, Monte Carlo simulation, spatial variability.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

The record

Venue
Canadian Geotechnical Journal
Topic
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
Field
Engineering
Canadian institutions
Funders
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
Keywords
Probabilistic logicMonte Carlo methodProbabilistic analysis of algorithmsSlope stabilityReliability (semiconductor)Stability (learning theory)Computer scienceSlope stability analysisUncertainty analysisReliability engineeringData miningStatisticsMathematicsEngineeringSimulationGeotechnical engineeringMachine learningArtificial intelligence
Has abstract in OpenAlex
yes