Nonparametric testing for a monotone hazard function via normalized spacings
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We study the problem of testing whether a hazard function is monotonic or not. The proposed test statistics, a global test and four localized tests, are all based on normalized spacings. The global test is in fact just the test statistic [Proschan, F. and Pyke, R. (1967). Tests for monotone failure rate. Fifth Berkeley Symposium, 3, 293-313], introduced for testing a constant hazard function versus a nondecreasing nonconstant hazard function. This global test is powerful for detecting global departures of the null hypothesis, but lacks power when there are local departures from the null hypothesis. By localizing the global test, we obtain tests that respond to this drawback. We also show how the testing procedures can be used when dealing with Type II censored data. We evaluate the performance of the test statistics via simulation studies and illustrate them on some data sets.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.027 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it