Predicting completion times of batch query workloads using interaction-aware models and simulation
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A question that database administrators (DBAs) routinely need to answer is how long a batch query workload will take to complete. This question arises, for example, while planning the execution of different report-generation workloads to fit within available time windows. To answer this question accurately, we need to take into account that the typical workload in a database system consists of mixes of concurrent queries. Interactions among different queries in these mixes need to be modeled, rather than the conventional approach of considering each query separately. This paper presents a new approach for estimating workload completion times that takes the significant impact of query interactions into account. This approach builds performance models using an experiment-driven technique, by sampling the space of possible query mixes and fitting statistical models to the observed performance at these samples. No prior assumptions are made about the internal workings of the database system or the cause of query interactions, making the models robust and portable. We show that a careful choice of sampling and statistical modeling strategies can result in accurate models, and we present a novel interaction-aware workload simulator that uses these models to estimate workload completion times. An experimental evaluation with complex TPC-H queries on IBM DB2 shows that this approach consistently predicts workload completion times with less than 20% error.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it