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Assessing the value of mitigation strategies in reducing the impacts of rapid‐onset, catastrophic floods

2009· article· en· W2092066056 on OpenAlexaff
William M. Johnstone, Barbara J. Lence

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Flood Risk Management · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicInfrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersU.S. Army Corps of EngineersFederal Emergency Management AgencyDepartment for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government
KeywordsAsset (computer security)Flood mythContext (archaeology)Environmental planningWork (physics)Environmental resource managementHazardNatural hazardRisk analysis (engineering)BusinessComputer scienceGeographyEnvironmental scienceComputer securityEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Communities worldwide face dangers due to floods induced by natural events or technical failures. These vulnerabilities are increasing due to continued settlement along coastlines and in floodplains, and may be exacerbated in future by climate change. Flood losses can be mitigated via structural and nonstructural (or community based) means. Risk analysis can be undertaken on behalf of different stakeholders including: policy makers or regulatory bodies; asset owners; the local community; and individuals who live, work or recreate in the hazard impact zones. While methods exist for assessing the risks associated with water impoundment and control structures, less effort has been devoted to developing methods that can assess the merits of community‐based preparation and response activities such as evacuation and sheltering in place. There is a need to identify the best approaches for undertaking assessments of proposed plans, and to explore opportunities for adapting existing models to provide these capabilities. This paper posits the challenge of assessing nonstructural approaches in the context of existing risk analysis methods, proposes a possible direction for developing new methods of analysis, and then demonstrates the application of the proposed methods in support of planning for near‐field tsunami hazards along the Pacific coast of North America.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.013
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.020

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.013
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.005
GPT teacher head0.259
Teacher spread0.253 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations37
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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