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Record W2096451443 · doi:10.1139/cjce-2013-0227

Discussion on “Plotting positions for fitting distributions and extreme value analysis”

2013· article· en· W2096451443 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Lasse Makkonen, Matti Pajari, Maria Tikanmäki

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Civil Engineering · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicProbabilistic and Robust Engineering Design
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersAcademy of Finland
KeywordsWeibull distributionMonte Carlo methodExtreme value theoryPosition (finance)Statistical physicsDistribution fittingGeneralized extreme value distributionCumulative distribution functionDistribution (mathematics)Probability distributionMathematicsComputer scienceStatisticsApplied mathematicsProbability density functionMathematical analysisPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Plotting positions are used in the extreme value analysis for many engineering applications. The authors of the discussed paper concluded based on their simulations that distribution dependent plotting position formulae provide a better fit to the underlying cumulative distribution than the distribution free Weibull formula. We show here by Monte Carlo simulations following the theory of probability that the opposite is true, and outline that the criteria used in the comparisons made by the authors of discussed paper are inappropriate. Accordingly, the Weibull formula should be used as the unique plotting position.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.039
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.148
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.039
Threshold uncertainty score0.206

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0390.148
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.003
Bibliometrics0.0030.004
Science and technology studies0.0030.009
Scholarly communication0.0070.009
Open science0.0070.003
Research integrity0.0090.012
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.266
Teacher spread0.218 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations17
Published2013
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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