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Record W2097364769 · doi:10.5555/2431518.2431693

Panel discussion: integrating data from multiple simulation models of different fidelity

2011· article· en· W2097364769 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueWinter Simulation Conference · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicProbabilistic and Robust Engineering Design
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceExtrapolationComputational modelFidelityMarkov chain Monte CarloContext (archaeology)CalibrationPresentation (obstetrics)ComputationBayesian probabilityMarkov modelField (mathematics)Markov chainMachine learningArtificial intelligenceAlgorithmStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Computer models are used to simulate physical processes in almost all areas of science and engineering. A single evaluation of these computation models (or computer codes) can take as little as a few seconds or as long as weeks or months. In either case, experimenters use the model outputs to learn something about the physical system. In some settings, outputs from several computational models, with varying levels of fidelity, are available to researchers. In addition, observations from the physical system may also be in hand. In this panel discussion we address issues relating to model formulation, estimation, prediction and extrapolation using multi-fidelity computer models are addressed. In the first presentation, Bayesian methods are used to build a predictive model using low and high fidelity computational models with different inputs and also field observations. The second presentation deals with the difficult computational issues facing computer model calibration and prediction using a Bayesian framework that are typically remedied through the use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. While the computational burden is substantial, we review faster alternatives to standard MCMC techniques that are particularly useful in the multi-fidelity simulator problem. In the final presentation, calibration of computational models is discussed in the context of validation and extrapolation, with introduction to developments in stochastic model calibration.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.923
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.516
GPT teacher head0.384
Teacher spread0.132 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it