Prevalence and Risk of Potential Cytochrome P450–Mediated Drug-Drug Interactions in Older Hospitalized Patients with Polypharmacy
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: As rates of polypharmacy rise and medication regimens become more complex, the risk of potential cytochrome P450 (CYP)-mediated drug-drug interactions (DDIs) is a growing clinical concern for older adults. OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of potential CYP-mediated DDIs in older hospitalized adults with polypharmacy and analyze the relationship between the number of drugs dispensed and the probability of these interactions in this high-risk population. METHODS: A prospective 16-week cohort study was conducted among consecutive new patients aged 65 years and older with polypharmacy (>5 drugs) admitted to a community hospital. The medication profiles of these patients were analyzed with a new multidrug cytochrome-specific software program. The prevalence of potential CYP-mediated DDIs was determined, with the probability calculated as a function of the number of medications dispensed using multivariate Poisson regression adjusted for age and sex. Comparative performance of the software program and a standard 2-drug alert program for detecting these DDIs was evaluated using the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney rank-sum test. Pharmacists' decisions to recommend medication adjustment based on the probability of CYP-mediated DDIs were recorded. RESULTS: The prevalence of potential CYP-mediated DDIs detected among 275 older adults with polypharmacy was 80%. The probability of at least 1 CYP-mediated DDI was 50% for persons taking 5-9 drugs, 81% with 10-14 drugs, 92% with 15-19 drugs, and 100% with 20 or more drugs. Addition of each medication to a 5-drug regimen conferred a 12% increased risk of a potential CYP-mediated DDI after adjustment for age and sex (OR 1.12; 95% CI 1.09-1.14). The multidrug software identified a median increase of 3 (95% CI 2.5-3.5) potential CYP-mediated DDIs per patient, compared to use of the standard 2-drug alert software. Pharmacists targeted patients for medication adjustment or close clinical monitoring in 23% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of potential CYP-mediated DDIs is high in geriatric patients with polypharmacy. The risk of DDIs increases as a function of the number of medications dispensed. Pharmacists' decision to intervene for potential CYP-mediated DDIs depends on clinical judgment in addition to the output from drug alert software programs, but may be facilitated by a single multicomponent, multidrug potential CYP-mediated DDI assessment.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it