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Record W2111054196 · doi:10.1093/aje/kwf122

Modeling Smoking History: A Comparison of Different Approaches

2002· article· en· W2111054196 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Karen Leffondré

Bibliographic record

VenueAmerican Journal of Epidemiology · 2002
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAlcohol Consumption and Health Effects
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversité de MontréalNational Cancer InstituteLigue Contre le CancerInstitut national de la recherche scientifique
KeywordsMedicineMulticollinearitySmoking cessationSmoking historyProportional hazards modelDemographyTobacco controlRegression analysisDuration (music)EpidemiologyEnvironmental healthStatisticsPublic healthSurgeryInternal medicineMathematicsPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The impact of cigarette smoking on various diseases is studied frequently in epidemiology. However, there is no consensus on how to model different aspects of smoking history. The aim of this investigation was to elucidate the impact of several decisions that must be made when modeling smoking variables. The authors used data on lung cancer from a case-control study undertaken in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, in 1979-1985. The roles of smoking status, intensity, duration, cigarette-years, age at initiation, and time since cessation were investigated using time-dependent variables in an adaptation of Cox's model to case-control data. The authors reached four conclusions. 1) The estimated hazard ratios for current and ex-smokers depend strongly on how long subjects are required to not have smoked to be considered "ex-smokers." 2) When the aim is to estimate the effect of continuous smoking variables, a simple approach can be used (and is proposed) to separate the qualitative difference between never and ever smokers from the quantitative effect of smoking. 3) Using intensity and duration as separate variables may lead to a better model fit than using their product (cigarette-years). 4) When estimating the effects of time since cessation or age at initiation, it is still useful to use cigarette-years, because it reduces multicollinearity.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.020
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.043
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.980
Threshold uncertainty score0.103

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0200.043
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.003
Bibliometrics0.0040.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0050.003
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.476
GPT teacher head0.430
Teacher spread0.046 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
DomainMethods
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations318
Published2002
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueAmerican Journal of EpidemiologySame topicAlcohol Consumption and Health EffectsFrench-language works237,207