Trunked radio systems: traffic prediction based on user clusters
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Studies of individual network users' behavior patterns may seem of little relevance to predicting the entire network's traffic. Clustering techniques, however, help bridge this apparent gap. In this paper, we analyze data collected from a deployed network and use clustering techniques to characterize patterns of individual users' behavior. A network traffic prediction approach is then developed based on user clusters. We analyze three months of continuous network log data from the E-Comm network, an operational trunked radio system. After extracting traffic data from the raw data logs, we identify user clusters by employing the AutoClass tool and the K-means algorithm. Based on the identified user clusters, we use the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model to forecast the network traffic by aggregating the predicted traffic of each user cluster. The predicted network traffic shows good agreement with the collected traffic data.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it