Near-Optimal Dynamic Lead-Time Quotation and Scheduling Under Convex-Concave Customer Delay Costs
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We consider a make-to-order system where customers are dynamically quoted lead times (and prices). Customers are homogenous but have general (nonlinear) disutility for delay. Because the firm is a monopolist, the pricing problem is trivial and the dynamic problem reduces to one of lead-time quotation and order sequencing. We also consider the (static) problem of up-front capacity installation. We use a large-capacity asymptotic regime to make the problem tractable. We provide recommended policies for convex, concave, and convex-concave lead-time cost functions and prove that these policies are asymptotically optimal. The policies are both highly intuitive and readily implementable. Moreover, they provide delay guarantees for all served customers. They are tested numerically; we find that significant benefits can accrue by using the prescribed dynamic policies instead of first-come-first-served type policies.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it