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Atmospheric Lifetime of Fossil Fuel Carbon Dioxide

2009· article· en· 1,017 citations· W2149521176 on OpenAlex· 10.1146/annurev.earth.031208.100206

Why is this work in the frame?

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

Canadian affiliationAn author listed a Canadian institution. This is the only route the usual frame has.

Full frame distilled prediction

Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

Candidate categories
none
Consensus categories
none
Domain
Candidate signal: noneConsensus signal: none
Study design
Candidate signal: ObservationalConsensus signal: Observational
Genre
Candidate signal: EmpiricalConsensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score
0.328
Threshold uncertainty score
0.481
Validation status
machine_predicted_unvalidated · codex-gemma-dda1882f352a

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Opus teacher head0.005
GPT teacher head0.202
Teacher spread
0.197 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Abstract

CO 2 released from combustion of fossil fuels equilibrates among the various carbon reservoirs of the atmosphere, the ocean, and the terrestrial biosphere on timescales of a few centuries. However, a sizeable fraction of the CO 2 remains in the atmosphere, awaiting a return to the solid earth by much slower weathering processes and deposition of CaCO 3 . Common measures of the atmospheric lifetime of CO 2 , including the e-folding time scale, disregard the long tail. Its neglect in the calculation of global warming potentials leads many to underestimate the longevity of anthropogenic global warming. Here, we review the past literature on the atmospheric lifetime of fossil fuel CO 2 and its impact on climate, and we present initial results from a model intercomparison project on this topic. The models agree that 20–35% of the CO 2 remains in the atmosphere after equilibration with the ocean (2–20 centuries). Neutralization by CaCO 3 draws the airborne fraction down further on timescales of 3 to 7 kyr.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

The record

Venue
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences
Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Field
Environmental Science
Canadian institutions
University of Victoria
Funders
Natural Environment Research CouncilSight Research UK
Keywords
BiosphereAtmosphere (unit)Environmental scienceCarbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphereFossil fuelEarth scienceCarbon dioxideAtmospheric sciencesDeposition (geology)Carbon cycleGlobal warmingGreenhouse gasClimatologyClimate changeGeologyMeteorologyOceanographyChemistryEcologyPaleontologyStructural basinEcosystemGeography
Has abstract in OpenAlex
yes