Dependency-aware fault diagnosis with metric-correlation models in enterprise software systems
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The normal operation of enterprise software systems can be modeled by stable correlations between various system metrics; errors are detected when some of these correlations fail to hold. The typical approach to diagnosis (i.e., pinpoint the faulty component) based on the correlation models is to use the Jaccard coefficient or some variant thereof, without reference to system structure, dependency data, or prior fault data. In this paper we demonstrate the intrinsic limitations of this approach, and propose a solution that mitigates these limitations. We assume knowledge of dependencies between components in the system, and take this information into account when analyzing the correlation models. We also propose the use of the Tanimoto coefficient instead of the Jaccard coefficient to assign anomaly scores to components. We evaluate our new algorithm with a Trade6-based test-bed. We show that we can find the faulty components within top-3 components with the highest anomaly score in four out of nine cases, while the prior method can only find one.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".